Alsco Uniforms 302: NASCAR Xfinity Series Bets And DraftKings DFS Picks

LEBANON TENNESSEE 8211 JUNE 25 Trevor Bayne driver of the 18 Devotion Nutrition Toyota leads the field during the NASCAR Xfinity Series Tennessee Lottery 250at Nashville Superspeedway on June 25 2022 in Lebanon Tennessee Photo by Meg OliphantGetty Images

The NASCAR Xfinity Series race at the Roval was full of excitement! In the end it was once again AJ Allmendinger grabbing the trophy for the fourth straight Roval Xfinity race. The only good news for the rest of the drivers, AJ will be a full-time Cup Series driver next year and not eligible for this race. The Roval was an elimination race, cutting the field from 12 drivers down to 8, Ryan Sieg, defending champion Daniel Hemric, Riley Herbst and Jeremy Clements were all eliminated from playoff contention.

This week it’s out to Sin City! Las Vegas Motor Speedway will kick off the round of 8 for the Xfinity Series. Things are more serious now than ever, win one of these next 3 (Vegas, Homestead, Martinsville) and you are locked into the final 4 with your chance at a Championship. With defending champion Hemric eliminated, a brand-new champion will be crowned this year. None of the remaining 8 have won an Xfinity championship before.

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NASCAR Xfinity DraftKings DFS Picks

DFS Top Play: Riley Herbst ($8,500)

Herbst went for quite the spin in qualifying! Luckily, he avoided hitting the wall and ruining the car. He did however ruin his qualifying lap and will start shotgun on the field. He’ll be chalky but is almost a must play with no chance at losing you points, and a great chance at scoring a ton of points. 

Great Play: Trevor Bayne ($10,400)

I’m sold on Trevor Bayne this weekend. I talked about him on the NASCAR GAMBLING PODCAST this week and he’s a guy who just keeps coming up for me. He’ll start outside of row #1 to last week’s winner AJ Allmendinger. Bayne was second fastest in practice to teammate Ty Gibbs and that #18 machine should be fast this weekend. Hopefully he can grab a quick lead and begin scoring those big points. 

 Value Play: Kyle Weatherman ($7,100)

Weatherman has been a strong performer in this #34 Chevrolet co-owned by NFL hall of famer Emmitt Smith. Seems like every time Weatherman gets a shot behind the wheel, he gets maximum performance out of the car. In his last 5 starts Weatherman has 3 finishes inside of the top-17 and hasn’t finished worse than 22nd. In his last 8 races a 30th is the low point with an average finish of 19.0.

NASCAR Xfinity Best Bets

Trevor Bayne over Justin Allgaier (-125)

It pains me to bet against Justin Allgaier in any way. If you’ve followed along this season he’s been one of my favorites to bet. You have to know when to hold them and when to fold them though, I’m not completely out on Justin this week but my love for Trevor runs deep. As mentioned above Bayne was second fastest in both practice and qualifying with Allgaier starting 10th after a dismal 20th fastest in practice.

Brandon Jones Top-5 (+200)

This bet screams value to me. Jones has been on a bit of a year lately with a top-10 finish in 4 of the last 5 races. Jones is a legit threat to make the final-4 at Phoenix. Jones is another of these Gibbs Toyota cars that I’m expecting to be fast this Saturday. Jones was 9th fastest in practice and rolls off the grid in 7th. Just a few weeks ago at Kansas, the most comparable track to Vegas, Jones scored a 4th place finish.

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To Win: Trevor Bayne (+500)

Noah Gragson and Ty Gibbs check in as the favorites at +250, I can’t talk myself into those guys at those odds. However, I’m all aboard the Bayne train this weekend. The Knoxville, Tennessee native was the youngest ever winner of the Daytona 500, winning in just his second career start at 20 years, 1 day old. Bayne hasn’t visited victory lane since winning at Iowa Speedway in 2013. That streak will end Saturday when the 31-year-old makes that long awaited return to victory lane. 

To Win Long-shot: Sheldon Creed (+4000)

Whenever makes these odds clearly hasn’t watched much of the Xfinity Series rookie this year. Sheldon has come painstakingly close to his first career win this season on multiple occasions. Finishing it out has been the problem, but we’ve seen this before with drivers like Kasey Kahne or Chase Elliott in the Cup Series. Once Sheldon finds victory lane, he’ll have a lot more trips coming his way and you’ll never see him at 40-1 again. 

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