YellaWood 500: NASCAR DFS Rankings and Projections

OCTOBER 1ST, 2022

What’s up everyone?!? I’m still at the hospital, so I’m going to keep this short and sweet.

FIRST THINGS FIRST. Do not make a lineup until you read the Strategy article, here:

YELLAWOOD 500 DRAFTKINGS RANKINGS AND PROJECTIONS

CLICK THE LINK BELOW FOR GOOGLE SHEETS VIEW…

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1BG7GGq0GxmVjUnovxHrCSmoeQobhg9U_YroQxaOQc6I/edit?usp=sharing

A recap of my recommended DraftKings lineup building Strategy:

  1. All 6 drivers starting 20 or beyond. While of course this can win tournaments as well, it is a must in cash games (50/50, Double Up/H2H).
  2. Sprinkle 1 driver starting 11-20. This would be for tournaments. I would recommend going underweight on obvious chalk. Ex: Blaney starting 19th. In such a volatile race, I’d rather go underweight on this and hope he gets caught in something.
  3. Sprinkle 2 drivers starting 9-20. This would be for MME, 150-max type of tournaments where you can afford to be riskier in some lineups. Same rules apply for going underweight on obvious chalk.

REFERENCING #1

The Chalk

Bubba/LaJoie/T. Dillon/McDowell – Great cash plays, as they rate out very well and I expect a ton of ownership on all these drivers. Going underweight in tournaments could provide you great leverage against the field.

Speaking of cash, do not go outside this range for all 6 of your cash game drivers.

Leverage Leans

Truex Jr./AD3/Haley/Buescher – I expect these to be the lowest owned, starting 20-23. I would avoid in cash but going overweight in tournaments could provide you great leverage against the field. You’ll see some of these fellas in Chase’s video, below.

You could also think about going underweight on the most popular names in great starting positions here – Harvick/RCRowdy/Stenhouse Jr. They might project to score more DraftKings points than most of my leverage leans, but that will be the same everywhere your opponents are looking, and ownership will reflect that. This race is not typically as volatile as Daytona, but still volatile enough where any of these drivers could beat each other in any given ‘

I will be mixing the rest of these drivers into my lineup, with my ownership reflected by my DraftKings projections on them.

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REFERENCING #2

The Chalk

Blaney/Elliott/Keselowski, and to a lesser extent, Logano – It’s funny that I used Blaney starting 19th in my example, and that’s exactly where he’s starting. Blaney is going to be chalky as hell starting 19th, and for good reason. I could never recommend fully fading him here but going underweight could provide you great leverage against the field. The same goes for Elliott/Keselowski. I’ll be playing all, but probably a tough underweight on them. Logano won’t be too chalky starting 11th, but still higher owned than I think he should be. I’ll more than likely be way underweight on him.

Leverage Leans

Jones/Cindric – Jones could come in at a fraction of the ownership of someone like Logano, and he’s arguably been better recently at Talladega and on Superspeedways this season. I am glad he is starting here and not in the back, as he will barely be owned, and it won’t take much to go overweight on him. Cindric is not someone who rates out well for me, but he always tends to find his way in these races. Surrounded by Elliott/Keselowski/Blaney, he will barely be clicked. This could provide you great leverage against the field.

REFERENCING #3

Not much here, but I don’t mind a Byron here or there if you’re playing a ton of lineups.

THE REST

With how qualifying turned out, I’m cool fading the first 5 rows on DraftKings.

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