Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 NASCAR Xfinity Series Race at Texas Motor Speedway Betting and DraftKings Picks:

Andy’s Frozen Custard 300: NASCAR Xfinity Series Bets and DraftKings DFS Picks

Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 NASCAR Xfinity Series Race at Texas Motor Speedway Betting and DraftKings Picks:
FORT WORTH TEXAS 8211 OCTOBER 16 John H Nemechek driver of the 54 Romco Equipment Toyota celebrates with a burnout after winning the NASCAR Xfinity Series Andy8217s Frozen Custard 335 at Texas Motor Speedway on October 16 2021 in Fort Worth Texas Photo by Sean GardnerGetty Images

Christopher Bell in 2018, Austin Cindric in 2020, and now Noah Gragson in 2022 are the last three Xfinity drivers to win three races in a row. Gragson and team made the call to stay out after a caution late in the race. His teammate Justin Allgaier who had dominated the race making a mistake and speeding on pit road, sending him to the back, opened it up for Gragson to hold off the late charge by Brandon Jones, who agreed to terms earlier in the week to replace Gragson in that #9 car for next season just earlier in the week.

The playoffs begin this weekend with the round of 12 at Texas Motor Speedway, Noah Gragson vaults his way to the top of the board via his playoff points earned throughout the season. Gragson holds a 46-point advantage above the cut line, Ty Gibbs has a 33-point cushion and Justin Allgaier has a 28-point cushion. While these totals are good and make you feel safe, Talladega is up next weekend, and we all know the chaos that can happen there there. Win this week though, and you lock yourself into that round of eight early.

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John Hunter Nemechek Over Josh Berry (-120)

John Hunter is running the #18 Joe Gibbs Racing entry this weekend. For most of the season, we’ve seen John Hunter do well in the Sam Hunt Racing car. Getting back into the Joe Gibbs car this weekend I’m expecting Nemechek to be bad fast. Berry has had down finishes lately compared to what we are used to seeing from him and these JRM cars. Berry hasn’t finished better than 6th in the last seven races, and in the spring, he finished 7th. Nemechek won at Texas last October in this same race, and I look for him to be easily better than Berry this weekend.

John Hunter Nemechek Top-5 (+100)

I’ve already sung the praises of Nemechek above. To dig deeper into his results here at Texas Motor Speedway, John Hunter has four starts. His finishes are 4th in 2018 in the CGR car, 9th and 5th in 2019 both in Gallagher cars, and his win last year in the Gibbs entry. So even in less capable cars, Nemechek has gotten it done in Texas.

To Win: John Hunter Nemechek (+700)

I didn’t start writing this article and intend for it to be all John Hunter Nemechek, but here we are. The “Big 3” are the favorites again Justin Allgaier (+300), Ty Gibbs (+400), and Noah Gragson (+400). As I’ve talked about in the past, if you want to pick one of these guys, just pick one and make him your guy for the weekend. I made the case on the NASCAR GAMBLING PODCAST for Gragson this week, four in a row is quite the feat we’ll see if he can get it done. Here today I am going with John Hunter to win this race, at 7/1 he’s the driver closest to the tier of those “big 3” drivers and has proven he can get it done. Give me the value and give me John Hunter.

To Win Long-shot: Austin Hill (+1500)

Another driver I’ve already been on earlier this week, and there is way too much value here not to take Hill to win this race. We’ve seen the speed from these RCR cars both from Hill, and his teammate (and Garage Guys Truck God) Sheldon Creed. I don’t hate a sprinkle on Creed as well (+2000), Hill started 3rd here in the spring and came home with a 5th place finish. Hill also has 12 Top 10 finishes in the last 15 races. He hangs around, and he’s got speed. The perfect combination for a longshot winner.


DFS Top Play: Noah Gragson ($11,100)

Again, pick your poison with these guys at the top, a very strong case can be made for all three of them, and playing two of them may be the best way to win again. What Noah has done winning three races in a row though just stands out to me. Gibbs has been the quietest of the 3 over the last few races. Noah starts the playoffs with a huge lead and has already announced plans to move on to the cup series next year. Like so many JRM #9 car drivers before him, Noah wants to leave this series a champion and that starts this weekend with a dominant performance at Texas.

Great Play: John Hunter Nemechek ($9,700)

Again, this is my guy in Texas. I’m hooking my ship to John Hunter and hoping he takes me straight to the bank. He offers salary relief being $1,400 cheaper than Noah, while he offers the same upside. Nemechek is a smash play for me this weekend for all the reasons listed above.

Value Play: Parker Retzlaff ($7,000)

Parker has made five starts this year in the #38 Ryan Sieg Racing car this year. A great start at Phoenix ended poorly after troubles caused him to park the car, since then it’s been a successful first few races for Retzlaff. 10th at Richmond, 12th at Martinsville, 17th at Dover, and 12th at Nashville have all been very impressive results for the 19-year-old from Rhinelander, Wisconsin. Many won’t recognize the name and just skip right over him, but Parker offers you great upside and a relatively higher floor.

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