What an exciting last few laps in the NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Watkins Glen! A late caution re-stacked the field and William Byron and Ty Gibbs were banging door to door for the lead. Off the track a little then back on, then it was a little too much as Gibbs slid into Byron and took them both out of contention. Opening the door for 2021 Cup Series champion Kyle Larson to snag his first of two wins on the weekend.
This week the circuit heads back to Daytona International Speedway. While this is the final race of the regular season for the Cup Series, this is one of the remaining four on the Xfinity schedule before the playoffs start. At a track where just about anyone can win, you’ll see a lot of drivers gunning for victory lane and trying to punch that playoff ticket. Always bet and play DFS responsibly, but more so on superspeedway weeks. Anything and everything can happen, so assume you’ll lose them all. Then bask in the glory of the ones you win! Superspeedway style racing is one of my favorites to watch, bet on and play DFS in for just that reason.
NASCAR Xfinity Best Bets:
Justin Haley Over Justin Allgaier (-120)
Justin Haley has been one of the best Superspeedway racers we’ve seen in the Xfinity Series. In 2020 he opened the season with a 6th place finish at Daytona. Then went on to win both races at Talladega and the second race at Daytona. When the books opened they mispriced Haley (20-1). If you were a member of the GARAGE GUYS FREE DISCORD, you were alerted right away and hopefully able to jump on that. He’s since moved to the race favorite (8-1). Haley is great, and so are the Kaulig Racing cars on superspeedways, ride that success in this head-to-head bet.
Landon Cassill Over John Hunter Nemechek (-115)
This is my favorite bet on the Xfinity slate. I talked about this one on the NASCAR GAMBLING PODCAST earlier in the week. John Hunter has a recognizable name so maybe that’s why he’s in this head-to-head. But otherwise, this seems lopsided to me. Cassill is a great superspeedway racer, also in one of those Kaulig Racing cars that always do well here. Nemechek has two superspeedway starts this season in the Truck Series in top-tier equipment and finished 24th in Both. Cassill finished 5th at both Talladega and Atlanta. Opened the season with 14th at Daytona, and finished 8th in the more recent Atlanta race. He’s a consistent driver who knows how to keep things clean and get solid finishes.
To Win: AJ Allmendinger (+900)
AJ Allmendinger has come so close, so many times at the big tracks. 3rd place at Talladega in April, 3rd at Atlanta in March, and 2nd here at Daytona in February. A 5th place finish last year at Daytona. He’s been so close just hasn’t been able to finish it off in victory lane. AJ is a veteran of the sport and knows how to look at and learn from the past. This is the weekend he finally gets the superspeedway money off his back and gets it done.
To Win Long-Shot: Brandon Brown (+6000)
There are a lot of cars that can win any given superspeedway. Brandon Brown is one of those guys, Xfinity tends to lean more toward the favored drivers than the Cup Series does, however, Brown got it done at Talladega just two years ago. There has been some turmoil in this car with a lack of sponsorship and funding and Brown has not driven the family-owned car a few times. Back behind the wheel of the 68 this week though, nothing would inject life back into the team like pulling off another win, at 60/1 it’s a long shot. A long shot with a decent chance, however!
NASCAR Xfinity DraftKings DFS Picks
DFS Top Play: Justin Haley ($10,600)
In the betting portion, I talked about how great Justin Haley has been in the Xfinity Series on superspeedways. On the NASCAR GAMBLING PODCAST, I made the case for Haley to win the Cup Series race (50-1). Justin Haley and Kaulig Racing are great on Superspeedways almost every single time. I don’t expect that to change this weekend.
Great Play: Austin Hill ($10,000)
Hill has been another driver who has just crushed on superspeedways this season in his rookie season in the Xfinity Series. A win at Daytona to kick off the season, 2nd at Atlanta, and another win at the 2nd Atlanta race have shown Hill’s prowess on the big tracks. Throwing out last week’s Watkins Glen race, Hill has also been a very consistent week in and week out as he auditions in hopes of taking over for Tyler Reddick on the 2024 Cup Series circuit.
Value Play: Sheldon Creed ($7,900)
Similar to his Richard Childress Racing teammate Austin Hill, Creed has been good at superspeedways as well. 6th at Daytona, 9th at Atlanta, and 12th at the second Atlanta race show he can keep things clean and avoid the chaos. That’s the most important thing this weekend, finding the drivers who can finish the race.