After a week off, the Xfinity Series heads to “The Glen.” Southwest of the village of Watkins Glen and on the southern tip of Seneca Lake, this course hosted Formula One racing for twenty years. The NASCAR Xfinity series first came to race at The Glen in 1991 and has been on the track 27-times since. Last year (2021) the race was dominated by Ty Gibbs. Gibbs led 43 of 82 laps in the race.
The 2021 entry list featured no full-time NASCAR Cup Series drivers. That is a huge difference this year, Cole Custer, William Byron, Kyle Larson, and Ross Chastain are all entered. The competition this week makes this a tougher week than normal regarding betting and DFS. Practice, Qualifying and the race all take place on Saturday, so pay special attention to that when setting your DFS lineups.
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NASCAR Xfinity Best Bets: Sunoco Go Rewards 200
Josh Berry Over Sheldon Creed (-120)
I talked about this bet on the NASCAR GAMBLING PODCAST earlier this week. This is the one that jumps off the board to me right away. Creed is a great driver in decent equipment, but the breaks just haven’t gone his way this year. It’s Berry’s first full-time year in Xfinity, however, he is no new driver. The 31-year-old Tennessee native has been racing for a long time. And he’s in the best equipment in the garage. In the last 3 road course races, he’s finished 14th, 3rd, and 4th place. Creed’s finishes in the same races are 23rd, 27th, and 32nd. Berry is the more reliable driver here and makes it easy to take his side from the head to head.
Ty Gibbs over William Byron (-120)
Yes, Byron is the full-time cup driver here, but Ty Gibbs is Ty Gibbs. He outdueled Kyle Larson wheel to wheel to get the victory at Road America earlier in the season and has 5 wins to his name already in the Xfinity Series this year. Byron should have a fine day in that No.17 Hendrick entry, but Gibbs won here last year and this is his series, expect him to have the better day.
To Win: AJ Allmendinger (+300)
This weekend is tough to pick a winner. Larson and Allmendinger both check in at 3/1 odds to win. Gibbs is 4/1. You can make a case, a very solid case for all three of these guys. You have to pick your guy and just roll him with him this week, then sprinkle on a long shot or two just in case. I’m rolling with Aj, Allmendinger is the all-time wins leader on road courses in the Xfinity Series and has won 3 of the 4 this season. That’s too good for me to pass on him.
To Win Long-Shot: Justin Allgaier (+2500)
These odds are just simply too long to pass up on. Allgaier is one of the best drivers in the Xfinity Series, in one of the best cars, and is having one of his best seasons. Again, this field is pretty loaded this week, but we’ve seen crazy things happen in NASCAR, especially this season. Justin has finished 3rd, 12th, and 5th in the last 3 road courses. He can be in place when the last lap or late-race chaos breaks out. And should never be 25/1. Sign me up.
NASCAR Xfinity DraftKings DFS Picks: Sunoco Go Rewards 200
DFS Top Play: AJ Allmendinger ($10,500)
The “Big 6” of AJ, Gibbs, and the 4 Cup series drivers will be very popular this week. Remember on road courses there are fewer laps led and fast laps to go around. AJ is the top guy I’m watching going into Saturday. But if one of these others starts on the pole. They may be the way to go, if they all start in the top 10 or top 15, the best way to play it is to just take 1 or 2 of them to be different from the masses.
Great Play: Austin Hill ($9,600)
Hill has been one of my favorite plays every time we’ve been on a road course this year. Tucked in as the 7th-priced guy on the slate, he will be overlooked this weekend. At the Indy Road Course, he finished 9th, 4th at Road America, 3rd at Portland, and 2nd place at COTA (Hill at 15/1 is a good place for another sprinkle of a long shot winner.) and unlike his teammate Sheldon Creed, Hill has been reliable. He’s my favorite play on this weekend’s slate.
Value Play: Patrick Gallagher ($5,500)
Gallagher is a road course ringer of sorts. With his only starts this year coming on road courses. Patrick has been a solid play each time, even starting 35th and only finishing 28th, he still netted 21 points. 33rd to 19th at Road America gave him 38 points. Another 28 points back at COTA going from 30th to 22nd. All 3 a good enough sample size for solid results at a bargain bin price. And if you are a regular reader of this article, you know I love my RSS Racing cars!