Welcome back to more NASCAR Xfinity Bets and DFS Picks for the Crayon 200 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway! The hometown kid, Austin Hill claimed victory last week at Atlanta has certainly entered the conversation as one of the best superspeedway drivers in the Xfinity Series as he snagged his second win of the season after winning the season-opener at Daytona International Speedway. Hill, a native of Winston, Georgia – only a one-hour drive from Atlanta Motor Speedway – was overjoyed with winning at his “home track.”
— FOX: NASCAR (@NASCARONFOX) July 9, 2022
The Xfinity Series now heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway, located in Loudon, New Hampshire. “The Magic Mile” is a 1.058-mile flat track. Banking in the corners varies from 2-7 degrees and is only 1 degree on the straightaways. Last year’s race was dominated by Christopher Bell, as the Cup Series regular hopped into the rotating Gibbs Racing ride and cruised to victory. That car will be occupied by part-time driver Trevor Bayne this week (#18 car). William Byron is the favorite as the lone Cup Series regular entered in the race.
NASCAR Xfinity Best Bets:
Noah Gragson over Daniel Hemric (-115)
Noah Gragson has won this head-to-head in 12 of the 17 Xfinity Series races so far this season. The news came out Friday evening that Ty Dillion would not be returning to the GMS No. 42 ride in 2023, and Noah Gragson is the top candidate to replace him. Gragson is going to want to show that he’s the man for the job. He’s already gotten it done more times than he hasn’t. Hemric, the defending series champion, won the matchup here last year. But based the way things have been going for Gragson in 2022, he should come out on top.
Justin Allgaier Top-5 (-150)
Allgaier finished second and third here in the last two seasons and has been on a tear so far in 2022. The JR Motorsports driver has two wins and seven Top 5 finishes to his name thus far, including a win on the last non-superspeedway oval race back in Nashville.
To Win: Justin Allgaier (+600)
I made the case above for the Top 5 finish. Allgaier has been one of the best this season as he currently sits 3rd in the regular season points standings. Justin was 15th in practice, but the team made some changes and he will roll off the grid from 3rd. If Christopher Bell didn’t dominate last year it would have been Allgaier’s day. This week it’s his time to shine again.
To Win Long-shot: Noah Gragson (+1000)
There aren’t a ton of sexy options as you go down the odds board for “Longshot” winners. But Noah at 10/1 seems like ridiculous odds for a guy who has already has two wins this season and nine Top 5’s. Too much value to pass up on a bet like this.
@NoahGragson says he wants to finish all the laps today! But at +40,000 on @WynnBET you gotta throw a little coin on that! Thanks for your time Noah! @Husker_Zeeb @TheSGPNetwork @GamblingPodcast pic.twitter.com/iRD3PyLUar
— NASCAR Gambling Podcast (@NascarGambling) May 15, 2022
NASCAR Xfinity DraftKings DFS Picks:
Top Play: William Byron ($11,100)
Byron is the one Cup Series star that is racing down in Xfinity Series Saturday. He will be a popular play but for good reason. Starting in 10th, he will give you an opportunity for place differential. Don’t let his starting spot concern you too much as Byron was P3 in practice and not far off of Ty Gibbs on speed.
Great Play: Ty Gibbs ($10,600)
The co-favorite with Byron to win this race at +350, Gibbs was the fastest car in practice. We always talk on the NASCAR GAMBLING PODCAST about how you don’t need many reasons to play or bet on Gibbs week in and week out. We’ve seen him win on every style of track and beat some of the best in the business. Starting 4th, look for him to get upfront early and score some dominator points.
Solid Play: Austin Hill ($8,800)
Last week Hill cost us $10,300 on DraftKings. Yes, he’s an elite superspeedway guy, and playing him worked out well for us. But why did the price drop this week? Hill has finished in the Top 5 in four of the last six races this season. His team has been clicking on all cylinders the last few weeks, and running off the momentum of a win should prove to be good for Hill. Hill offers both place-differential and good finishing value as he starts from the 15th position on Saturday.
Value Play: David Starr ($5,600)
To cram in some of the higher-priced guys you’ll have to dumpster dive a little this week. The veteran racer Starr is a good place to do so. Starting back in 31st, he gives you a low floor but offers some value as well. In his last two races, he’s scored 26 and 29 points, respectively. Even 15 points the week before is good enough at this price point. 31, 29, and 18 are some of his other recent scores, and any of those will be good enough to get you by.