Tennessee Lottery 250: NASCAR Xfinity Bets and DFS Picks for DraftKings

DARLINGTON SOUTH CAROLINA 8211 MAY 07 Justin Allgaier driver of the 7 Hellmann8217s Chevrolet prepares for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Mahindra ROXOR 200 at Darlington Raceway on May 07 2022 in Darlington South Carolina Photo by James GilbertGetty Images

After two long weeks off with no Xfinity bets or DFS, we return with a trip to the Music City for racing at Nashville Superspeedway. Back on June 4th, the series competed at the Portland International Raceway. AJ Allmendinger came away as the winner after getting off course to start the day but came through when it mattered most. AJ picked up his second win of the season after taking down COTA in March.

Now, let’s get back to talking racing in the Music City. Despite the name “Superspeedway”, this track isn’t a Daytona or Talladega. The concrete surface is 1.3333 miles in length with 14 degree banking. Last year, Cup Series star Kyle Busch recorded his historic 100th victory in the Xfinity Series by dominating the race leading 123 of 189 laps. Busch however is not entered this year. Tyler Reddick is the lone Cup Series regular and will be in the #48 Big Machine Racing entry.

NASCAR Xfinity Best Bets:

Justin Allgaier top-5 (-160)

Allgaier finished second to Kyle Busch last year and has performed very well at Dover over the years. While shaped and banked differently, Dover is the only other concrete track on the schedule (He finished second there in April). Justin has ten Top 4 finishes in the last 12 trips to Dover. Allgaier also has eight Top 5 finishes at Phoenix Raceway (a similarly banked slightly shorter track than Nashville). I total, Allgaier has a Top 5 finish in four of the last five Xfinity Series races.

Cody’s Favorite Bet: Ryan Preece over Daniel Hemric (-130)

I talked about this on the NASCAR GAMBLING PODCAST this week. Hemric is the defending series champion but has downgraded rides this season. He’s scored some okay finishes lately but hasn’t been competing for wins or running that great. Preece is in the BJ McLeod #5 this week, but that car is prepared by Stewart-Haas Racing when Preece drives it. Preece won the Truck Series race here last year in his first-ever start in the Series.

To Win: Justin Allgaier (+550)

Love Justin this week if you haven’t noticed! The way that JRM and Allgaier have been running this year has been outstanding. He only has one win, so far, but I think this is the week Justin puts the JRM #7 back in victory lane.

To Win Longshot: Ryan Preece (+1600)

There are only a handful of drivers who seem to have a legit shot at winning this race this week. As I look down the list, Preece is the longest odds driver that jumps out to me. As I mentioned above that car will be prepared by Stewart-Haas Racing. Preece got it done in the Truck Series last year at this track. So, if it’s not a favorite that pulls it off, Ryan could be the man!

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NASCAR Xfinity DraftKings DFS Picks:

DFS Top Play: Ty Gibbs ($11,300)

Gibbs is a racer through and through. He’s had the last two weeks to sit around and have that itch growing and growing. Now he gets to go out there and scratch it. I expect Gibbs to be aggressive from the drop of the green flag and try to lead early and rack up those dominator points.

Great Play: Justin Allgaier ($10,800)

Is anyone noticing a theme here? I’m going to live and die by this #7 car’s performance this week. With Gragson, Gibbs, and Reddick all in this same price range, I don’t expect Allgaier to get as much love as the other guys. This makes him a great play to differentiate your lineup from others.

Solid Play: Riley Herbst ($8,100)

Herbst hasn’t lived up to the expectations that the car had when it was Chase Briscoe driving it, But Herbst has been a very solid finisher lately. If you take out the two road courses, Herbst has finished in the Top 10 in eight of the last nine oval races. At $8,100 he should return the value you need.

Value Play: Ryan Ellis ($6,200)

Ellis isn’t a super sexy name to come across while building your lineup, but if you need to save some salary, he’s worth a look. In only six starts this season, Ellis has finished Top 20 in four of them. A huge accomplishment for a part-time team like this. They seem to be picking their spots and calculating their races and if he can pick up another Top 20 or even Top 25 it should be a solid day for Ellis.

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