Ladies and gentlemen, It’s dirt racing SZN, and the NASCAR Truck Series is headed to Knoxville, Iowa for the Clean Harbors 150. With NASCAR Trucks being the only NASCAR series racing this weekend, I couldn’t be more excited to preview the NASCAR Trucks bets and DFS slate for this weekend’s event!
After going 1-1 last week with our Best Bets, we got the easy win with Kyle Busch’s Top-3 finish. Unfortunately, we suffered the first H2H loss of the year as Stewart Friesen spun multiple times and eventually wrecked late in the race, giving Parker Kliggerman the H2H victory. With the loss, our H2H record moves to 10-1 on the season. With the series returning to the dirt this week, I’m feeling locked loaded with the Best Bets and small tease, I’m bringing back “the people’s parlay” as a result!
This week on the NASCAR Betting Preview Show that I host every Wednesday on Twitter Spaces, we took a deep dive into the four Featured H2H Matchups on DraftKings Sportsbook. With tons a data points and intriguing trends, it’s important to identify who is fast on dirt, and who enjoys racing of this surface type. For handicapping purposes, the series is running the same tire code that was previously used at Bristol Dirt back in April. I highly recommend looking up the “loop data” for that race to gain a clear understanding of what to expect on Saturday.
With qualifying heat races set a few hours before the race on Saturday, it’s imperative to lock in these plays now before it’s too late! For anyone that read the article to this point, tweet me @Picks_By_Blaze what you think the H2H line would be in a matchup of #1 Hailie Deegan vs. #62 Jessica Friesen? Very curious about everyone’s thoughts. Let’s get into our Truck Series Best Bets!
NASCAR Trucks Best Bets: Clean Harbors 150 At Knoxville Raceway
#18 Chandler Smith -155 vs. #38 Zane Smith +125 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
So out of the gates, we’re grabbing the driver with the highest price point, however, it’s for good reason. For starters, Chandler Smith showcased his strength against Zane in each practice session, including the 10-lap consecutive averages in both sessions as well. Next, they both start 1st in their qualifying races (#38 – 1st heat race) (#18 – 2nd heat race) however, it’s Chandler that has the easier of the two heats which should propel him to have the better starting position going into the main event. After leading 71 laps last year at Knoxville, look for Chandler to get back into a familiar position, and dominate this H2H Featured Matchup.
#66 Ty Majeski -130 vs. #98 Christian Eckes +100 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
I’ll be honest, I wish this number was around -110 or -115 for Majeski over Eckes, however, this is the next best Featured Matchup in my opinion. With these two being teammates, the equipment is obviously the same so the difference has to come behind the wheel. One of the best cars that didn’t get the finish he deserved at Bristol, was Ty Majeski. After starting 8th, Majeski had the 2nd fastest laps (21), had an average running position of 6.6, and was incredibly fast on the inside line. With Goodyear bringing the same tire code from Bristol, I envision guys that were good a few months ago will be good once again. Majeski should be able to finish 2nd in his heat (3rd at worst) meanwhile, Eckes has a difficult heat race and assuming he finishes 5th-6th, he’ll be starting well behind Ty in a race where track position is everything. Parlay these Featured Matchups for a +191 value!
#42 Carson Hocevar Top-5 +180 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
One of the best cars in both practice sessions was Carson Hocevar. After finishing runner-up at Bristol, it’s obvious Carson is comfortable running on the dirt. There’s a lot of speculation that this weekend could be where he scores his first win. With Hocevar starting 5th in his qualifying heat, my model has him projected him to finish 2nd, which would score him with 12 points and start within the top-5 in the main event. At +180, jump on this number NOW!
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DFS Driver Picks for DraftKings: Clean Harbors 150 At Knoxville Raceway
#18 Chandler Smith – ($10.1K)
For reasons highlighted above for Chandler (See Best Bets), I firmly believe Smith also holds serious DFS value. With my model projecting him to start inside the Top-5, it’s quite possible he could be one of the top drivers in the DFS ranks. Any lineup I do, it will certainly involve Chandler in a major way.
#88 Matt Crafton – ($8.6K)
One of the best drivers on dirt, and currently holding tremendous value via his price point is Matt Crafton. Matt has a strong Truck heading into Saturday, and I think will be a major player at the end of the day Saturday. A lot of metrics I look at are telling me Crafton is the value play this week, and I plan on having him in each of my DFS lineups this week as the series heads to Knoxville.