This week the NASCAR Xfinity Series heads to the Pacific Northwest, which is an area that hasn’t seen much in-person NASCAR racing. Portland International Raceway’s 1.97-mile road course Circuit will be this weekend’s host for the series “where names are made”, so it’s time we dig into some NASCAR Xfinity bets and DFS picks.
Last week in Charlotte, it was once again the JR Motorsports show. If you’ve been following Xfinity this year, that comes as no surprise. However, Charlotte is a track JRM struggled at before this past weekend. Josh Berry claimed the victory with JRM cars also finishing 3rd, 4th, and 7th. Ty Gibbs once again was the only one standing in their way of sweeping the top few spots as he held on to 2nd.
Because they are away from the Cup Series and Cup Series pit crews service a majority of Xfinity teams as well, NASCAR will do what they normally do in this seldom occurrence and have noncompetitive pit stops. So at the end of each stage, the field will be frozen, and teams will be given three minutes for the road crew to change tires, make adjustments and fuel the car up. Then, each driver will return to their scored position.
NASCAR Xfinity Best Bets: Pacific Office Automation 147
Sam Mayer Over Daniel Hemric (-110)
If you tailed me last week on this one you hit, and it was -145 then. This week we get -110, so even better. Hemric has had a lousy season so far this year as it’s been a “Super Bowl” hangover of sorts for last year’s champion on a new team. He did manage a 6th-place run last week at Charlotte, but that wasn’t enough to best Mayer.
Again, nobody has touched JR Motorsports’ dominance this year. While road courses are slightly different for guys like Allmendinger and Gibbs, that doesn’t apply to Hemric. Keep the fade rolling Saturday.
Cody’s Favorite Bet: Noah Gragson Top 5 (-110)
Gragson has a Top 5 finish in 4 of the last 5 races. The only outlier here was at Texas where he had a great car but was caught up in a wreck that ended his day. His career average finish at both Indy Road Course and the Charlotte Roval is better than 5.0, and that includes racing against guys like Austin Cindric and Chase Briscoe who have moved on to the Cup Series.
To Win: AJ Allmendinger (+250)
I don’t usually go for the favorite as my pick to win, but AJ is so far above and beyond the competition this weekend. My Co-Host on the NASCAR GAMBLING PODCAST made a very strong case for him this week and convinced me. He’s got the experience here, and he’s one of the most elite road course racers in NASCAR right now, and maybe ever. I can’t pass up on him.
To Win: Longshot Sam Mayer (+1200)
I cannot reiterate enough how good Mayer and JR Motorsports have been this season. If this isn’t the presumable Allmendinger and Gibbs show, I think Mayer could be the man for the job. Especially with his long odds, and on the edge of a first win.
Watch The Garage Guys NASCAR Race Preview On YouTube
NASCAR Xfinity DraftKings DFS Picks: Pacific Office Automation 147
DFS Top Play: AJ Allmendinger ($10,500)
Allmendinger is the only driver in the field who has won at Portland, and that was over a decade ago in 2006. Allmendinger qualified 10th Friday night, which actually gives him an advantage with the ability to score some place-differential points along with laps led and fast laps. I honestly don’t t see anyone beating him this weekend.
Great Play: Noah Gragson ($10,300)
Gragson starts right behind Allmendinger in 11th. While he isn’t the road course ace that AJ is, Gragson is a fine road course driver. He’s been one of the best drivers all year long on the best team in the series. Don’t look at his 33rd place practice effort as he only ran 3 laps. Hopefully, that will drive his ownership down. I view Gragson as a great play.
Solid Play: Alex Labbe ($7,700)
Labbe is a solid road course racer. He has two Top 10s at the Charlotte Roval with one being a top 5 and another top 10 at the Indy Road Course to go with many Top 20 finishes. Labbe starts 23rd, so a solid Top 20 run with Top 10 upside is what we need from the 29-year-old Canadian driver.
Value Play: Mason Filippi ($6,300)
Filippi is a 24-year-old road course ringer who is joining DGM to pilot their #91 car this weekend. Filippi starts in 29th on Saturday and will have ample opportunity for place differential. The series is heading to a track that almost none of these guys have been on. The old-school road course ringer type of driver is going to be much more valuable this weekend, especially with no Cup Series drivers in the field.