Go Bowling at The Glen: NASCAR DFS Premium Rankings

We are FINALLY back to the NASCAR DFS and betting grind with the Go Bowling at The Glen. I don’t know about you, Garage Fam, but the hiatus for the Olympics felt like more than two weeks off. We are officially on the backstretch of the regular season before it is playoff time. This is a good time for me to remind everyone that contest selection and prize pools will start to diminish leading up to NFL, and then really drop off once the season starts. What does that mean? If you are DFS player that is playing for big takedowns, now is the time. Betting and small stakes should not be impacted.

I rank every driver and tier them based on price. There is no sense to compare Chase Elliot to Quin Houff, but comparing Chase Elliot to Kevin Harvick, for example, tends to make sense. The rankings will be posted first and represent the “initial pass” on my approach to the slate.

The notes represent my “second pass” and will provide more insight into how I am building lineups, what I have learned from looking around the industry, and mention any situations where I’m “hotter” or “colder” on anyone than when I set the rankings. For example, I may mention that there is a large gap in my interest level after the top three ranked drivers in a given tier. Another example would be to point out that drivers ranked 1-3 are interchangeable in terms of my interest. My suggestion is to enter multiple lineups and use the rankings and notes as a guide as you build lineups.

If you are a more serious player building 40+ lineups, I do suggest purchasing a lineup optimizer tool. These are affordable for our more advanced players and you can get them relatively cheap – especially if you are purchasing for NASCAR only. We will definitely look to partner with a third party or build one in-house for next season. If you need help selecting one, I’m here to help explain and recommend what you need. To reiterate – this is only for advanced players and you do not need this unless you have full command of the tool. In fact, it can do more harm than good if you do not know what you are doing.

NASCAR DFS Tiered Rankings – Go Bowling at The Glen

Chef’s CookBooks

Tier 1 Notes

You just can’t ignore the data on Chase Elliot, and almost all of the industry should have Elliot, KB, and Larson ranked at the top in terms of overall plays. A case can be made for pivots in GPP, but they are the trio worth most consideration when beginning lineup building. I do think Kurt and Willy B make for nice GPP pivots to mix in with 2 of the 3 top dogs. They both have similar starting spots to KFB, and they will likely be lower owned. Going with 2 of KFB, Larson, and Elliot and taking one more tier 1 driver or dropping to tier 2 will be something I do often. A smaller percentage of my lineups will be just 1 of the trio to get even more unique.

I’m also flipping Kurt and Willy B’s rankings, although it is close. So Kurt #5 instead of #6 listed.

Tier 2 Notes

Even though Hamlin is ranked number 2 here, I’m not getting to him much based on prioritizing some of the tier 1 drivers. He isn’t a fade for me, but just being transparent on how I’m building lineups. Briscoe is a great play in this spot and guys like Bell, Chastain, and Bowman are some GPP options.

Tier 3 Notes

Buescher, Jones, and Mike Mac are my clear favorites in this tier this weekend. They all have nice starting positions in the 20s and all have similar odds to crack a top 10 at around +450. Reddick is definitely worth a GPP look since he has stronger finishing position potential at +125 for a top 10. I just wish he started a little further back because that is what makes the others edge him out in my rankings.

Tier 4 Notes

I’m bumping Custer down on the rankings and using more of Lajoie, Davison, Preece, and AD because the cheaper pricing allows more star flexibility up top. Another main reason is if I’m going to get to Bubba or Custer, I’m going to try to get to Erik Jones and Mike Mac right above them in price. I don’t mind Bubba and Custer, but the other cheaper guys offer similar projections at the discount. I’m fading everyone below Stenhouse in this tier.

I’m adding this section just to point out a few things across platforms as I’m building lineups. As a reminder, place differential, laps led, and fastest laps are more important on DraftKings. FanDuel is all about finishing position so your goal should be to get as many drivers that can finish inside the top 10/top 5.

Platform Insights (DraftKings/FanDuel)

  • Buescher is firmly in play on both sites but has a nice 6.8k price on FD
  • Insert the same thing about Erik Jones as CB. 5.5k on FD.
  • Ryan Newman isn’t my favorite play today but he is 2.8k cheaper on FD at a 4.5k price
  • Not much stands out at the top of the pricing charts. Bell is probably too expensive on FD over 11k but 8.8k on DK.

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