Foxwoods Resort Casino 301: NASCAR DFS Premium Rankings

July 18, 2021

It is time to put the DFS and betting from the race last weekend behind us as we turn to New Hampshire for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301. Thanks to Kurt Busch dominating a lot of the race and Ross Chastain screwing Kyle Busch, it was an all-around disaster. This week feels like the first time in ages that we don’t see Larson or Hendrick as the favorite to win with both Hamlin and Truex coming in slightly favored over Larson.

I rank every driver and tier them based on price. There is no sense to compare Chase Elliot to Quin Houff, but comparing Chase Elliot to Kevin Harvick, for example, tends to make sense. The rankings will be posted first and represent the “initial pass” on my approach to the slate.

The notes represent my “second pass” and will provide more insight into how I am building lineups, what I have learned from looking around the industry, and mention any situations where I’m “hotter” or “colder” on anyone than when I set the rankings. For example, I may mention that there is a large gap in my interest level after the top three ranked drivers in a given tier. Another example would be to point out that drivers ranked 1-3 are interchangeable in terms of my interest. My suggestion is to enter multiple lineups and use the rankings and notes as a guide as you build lineups.

If you are a more serious player building 40+ lineups, I do suggest purchasing a lineup optimizer tool. These are affordable for our more advanced players and you can get them relatively cheap – especially if you are purchasing for NASCAR only. We will definitely look to partner with a third party or build one in-house for next season. If you need help selecting one, I’m here to help explain and recommend what you need. To reiterate – this is only for advanced players and you do not need this unless you have full command of the tool. In fact, it can do more harm than good if you do not know what you are doing.

NASCAR DFS Tiered Rankings – Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

Chef’s CookBooks

Tier 1 Notes

Hamlin desperately needs a win and this track serves as a great opportunity for him to get it done. Dennis and the two Kyles are my favorite spend-ups in tier 1 this weekend. Elliot, Harvick, and Byron are in play as GPP pivots off of the top 3.

I do like the top of tier 2 more than usual this weekend so that means I won’t have quite as much exposure as usual to the poorer ranked drivers in tier 1.

Tier 2 Notes

Often times tier 2 has to bite the bullet because cramming in tier 1 combos is the move, but that isn’t the case this weekend. Give me plenty of Truex, Joseph L, and even some Brad K. Bacon boi has decent place differential upside here, and Blaney is a GPP pivot off of the three drivers ranked the best and mentioned prior.

Tier 3 Notes

Stenhouse and Newman screwed a ton of players last weekend leaving them starting way in the back of the field. The only play I prefer to them in this tier is Chris Bell. He has a riskier starting position than both but has top 5 potential (odds listed at +350).

Tier 4 Notes

Gross down here this weekend with not many $6k ish solid options starting in the late 20’s to 30’s. I guess that is what happens when Stenhouse, Newman, and Suarez shit the bed and take those starting positions. Custer and Bubba are probably the best options, and Lajoie and Davison are my favorite super punts/turds.

Platform Insights (DraftKings/FanDuel)

I’m adding this section just to point out a few things across platforms as I’m building lineups. As a reminder, place differential, laps led, and fastest laps are more important on DraftKings. FanDuel is all about finishing position so your goal should be to get as many drivers that can finish inside the top 10/top 5.

Truex is priced all the way down at 9.1k on DK but is the 2nd highest driver on FD at 13.5k
DK priced Suarez up starting 31st at 8.9k but FD left him priced like normal of course. He is only 5.7k.

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