Goodyear 400 at Darlington: NASCAR DFS Premium Rankings

The Garage Guys have been on site all NASCAR weekend at Darlington and the GG energy is flowing – DFS, Betting, Insider Tailgating, Dale Shotgunning Beers, Garage Guy Shotgunning Fake Beers. While I’m a sad boi to not be at Darlington, the train doesn’t stop on the premium rankings. Lately, the rankings have been on fire and we will look to keep up the momentum with the Goodyear 400.

I rank every driver and tier them based on price. There is no sense to compare Chase Elliot to Quin Houff, but comparing Chase Elliot to Kevin Harvick, for example, tends to make sense. The rankings will be posted first and represent the “initial pass” on my approach to the slate.

The notes represent my “second pass” and will provide more insight into how I am building lineups, what I have learned from looking around the industry, and mention any situations where I’m “hotter” or “colder” on anyone than when I set the rankings. For example, I may mention that there is a large gap in my interest level after the top three ranked drivers in a given tier. Another example would be to point out that drivers ranked 1-3 are interchangeable in terms of my interest. My suggestion is to enter multiple lineups and use the rankings and notes as a guide as you build lineups.

If you are a more serious player building 40+ lineups, I do suggest purchasing a lineup optimizer tool. These are affordable for our more advanced players and you can get them relatively cheap – especially if you are purchasing for NASCAR only. We will definitely look to partner with a third party or build one in-house for next season. If you need help selecting one, I’m here to help explain and recommend what you need. To reiterate – this is only for advanced players and you do not need this unless you have full command of the tool. In fact, it can do more harm than good if you do not know what you are doing.

NASCAR DFS Tiered Rankings – Goodyear 400

Chef’s CookBooks

Tier 1 Notes

I decided to give Truex and Hamlin the better ranking over Larson, but I do think Larson has the highest ceiling on the slate. All three should carry some pretty heavy ownership. The drivers ranked 5-7th all have upside and should come in lower owned across contests, but they do not project as well as the drivers ranked 1st-4th. I’ll mix in some of the lesser ranked guys, but I’ll rarely have combinations of dominators with more than 1 of Harvick, KFG, Joseph L.

Tier 2 Notes

I’ll have very little owernship in this tier due to the strength of tier 1. I wouldn’t put too much value into the #2 next to Blaney’s name. I’ll have a small dose of him, and I do have some interest in C Bell for the place differential.

Tier 3 Notes

Starting with C Bell in the above tier and working down through Stenhouse at 7600 there are several nice options of drivers that project to do well: Bell, Kurt, Erik Jones, Bacon Boi, Stenhouse. Due to their starting positions, we should see a few of these guys more than pay off their salary.

Tier 4 Notes

Chastain and Preece are my clear favorite punt options, and although Suarez is in Tier 3, I think you could throw him down here as pivot if you have the salary. My favorite of the super punts are Yeley, Haley, and Mcleoud. Bilicki is supposed to have a 13 by his name instead of “3.”

Platform Insights (DraftKings/FanDuel)

I’m adding this section just to point out a few things across platforms as I’m building lineups. As a reminder, place differential, laps led, and fastest laps are more important on DraftKings. FanDuel is all about finishing position so your goal should be to get as many drivers that can finish inside the top 10/top 5.

  • Joseph L is priced up on DK but only 10k on FD
  • Stenhouse is priced all the way down at 5.5k at FD which is cray
  • Jones is underpriced on FD
  • Willy B is overpriced on FD
  • Elliot is actually a better play on DK due to that 12k price tag on FD

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