Geico 500: NASCAR DFS Premium Point Projections For DraftKings

Drew Deen’s NASCAR Cup Series DFS Projections for the Geico 500 at Talladega. Subscribe to Garage Guys Fantasy Sports Premium Content today for more NASCAR DFS articles and research to help you stack cash and bag tourneys on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Geico 500: Driver Projections For DraftKings

Projections are hardly valuable for Superspeedway racing. This week you should be spending all of your time focusing on roster construction and lineup building. The optimal lineup over the past several years has left a ton of salary on the table and featured very few combinations of drivers starting in the front.

Here are the four ways of thinking or strategies:

  • Method 1 (my lowest % of builds): Treat it like a normal race and hope the wrecks do not come. Combine a couple of favorites or doms with some PD or finishing position upside.
  • Method 2: Limit your drivers starting in the top 10 and top 20 and prioritize the back and leaving salary.
  • Method 3: Method 2 but on steroids. Maybe have 0-1 drivers starting in the top 12 and 0-2 drivers starting in the top 20
  • Method 4: This is what Chase and I call “Mixure” where you basically intentionally try to find that middle ground between Superspeedway Strategy and normal Strategy.

My ownership will reflect in this order: Method 2, Method 3, Method 4, Method 1.

DriverSalaryStarting PositionName_IDIDDK ProjectionValue
Brad Keselowski1050010Brad Keselowski (17204930)17204930323.05
Chase Elliott103008Chase Elliott (17204931)17204931282.72
Ryan Blaney101007Ryan Blaney (17204932)17204932313.07
Denny Hamlin100001Denny Hamlin (17204933)17204933323.20
Joey Logano98002Joey Logano (17204934)17204934292.96
Kevin Harvick960016Kevin Harvick (17204935)17204935313.23
Kyle Larson940012Kyle Larson (17204936)17204936282.98
Kyle Busch92009Kyle Busch (17204937)17204937272.93
Alex Bowman90005Alex Bowman (17204938)17204938232.56
Martin Truex Jr89003Martin Truex Jr (17204939)17204939232.58
Aric Almirola870014Aric Almirola (17204940)17204940303.45
Ricky Stenhouse Jr850017Ricky Stenhouse Jr (17204941)17204941323.76
Kurt Busch830015Kurt Busch (17204942)17204942283.37
Matt DiBenedetto820013Matt DiBenedetto (17204943)17204943212.56
William Byron80004William Byron (17204944)17204944212.63
Harrison Burton790039Harrison Burton (17204945)17204945324.05
Austin Dillon770011Austin Dillon (17204946)17204946232.99
Ryan Newman760028Ryan Newman (17204947)17204947354.61
Erik Jones750022Erik Jones (17204948)17204948314.13
Christopher Bell74006Christopher Bell (17204949)17204949202.70
Michael McDowell720023Michael McDowell (17204950)17204950314.31
Bubba Wallace700024Bubba Wallace (17204951)17204951334.71
Cole Custer680027Cole Custer (17204952)17204952253.68
Chase Briscoe660025Chase Briscoe (17204953)17204953274.09
Tyler Reddick650020Tyler Reddick (17204954)17204954294.46
Ryan Preece640029Ryan Preece (17204955)17204955365.63
Chris Buescher630021Chris Buescher (17204956)17204956294.60
Daniel Suarez620019Daniel Suarez (17204957)17204957182.90
Ross Chastain610018Ross Chastain (17204958)17204958233.77
Justin Haley590034Justin Haley (17204959)17204959325.42
Kaz Grala580038Kaz Grala (17204960)17204960305.17
Anthony Alfredo570030Anthony Alfredo (17204961)17204961244.21
Corey Lajoie560026Corey Lajoie (17204962)17204962315.54
JJ Yeley540037JJ Yeley (17204963)17204963254.63
Josh Bilicki520036Josh Bilicki (17204964)17204964224.23
Timmy Hill500040Timmy Hill (17204965)17204965275.40
Joey Gase490035Joey Gase (17204966)17204966255.10
BJ McLeod470031BJ McLeod (17204967)17204967194.04
Quin Houff460032Quin Houff (17204968)17204968194.13
Cody Ware450033Cody Ware (17204969)17204969204.44

Drew Deen

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