Geico 500: NASCAR DFS Premium Point Projections For DraftKings
Drew Deen’s NASCAR Cup Series DFS Projections for the Geico 500 at Talladega. Subscribe to Garage Guys Fantasy Sports Premium Content today for more NASCAR DFS articles and research to help you stack cash and bag tourneys on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Geico 500: Driver Projections For DraftKings
Projections are hardly valuable for Superspeedway racing. This week you should be spending all of your time focusing on roster construction and lineup building. The optimal lineup over the past several years has left a ton of salary on the table and featured very few combinations of drivers starting in the front.
Here are the four ways of thinking or strategies:
- Method 1 (my lowest % of builds): Treat it like a normal race and hope the wrecks do not come. Combine a couple of favorites or doms with some PD or finishing position upside.
- Method 2: Limit your drivers starting in the top 10 and top 20 and prioritize the back and leaving salary.
- Method 3: Method 2 but on steroids. Maybe have 0-1 drivers starting in the top 12 and 0-2 drivers starting in the top 20
- Method 4: This is what Chase and I call “Mixure” where you basically intentionally try to find that middle ground between Superspeedway Strategy and normal Strategy.
My ownership will reflect in this order: Method 2, Method 3, Method 4, Method 1.
| Driver | Salary | Starting Position | Name_ID | ID | DK Projection | Value |
| Brad Keselowski | 10500 | 10 | Brad Keselowski (17204930) | 17204930 | 32 | 3.05 |
| Chase Elliott | 10300 | 8 | Chase Elliott (17204931) | 17204931 | 28 | 2.72 |
| Ryan Blaney | 10100 | 7 | Ryan Blaney (17204932) | 17204932 | 31 | 3.07 |
| Denny Hamlin | 10000 | 1 | Denny Hamlin (17204933) | 17204933 | 32 | 3.20 |
| Joey Logano | 9800 | 2 | Joey Logano (17204934) | 17204934 | 29 | 2.96 |
| Kevin Harvick | 9600 | 16 | Kevin Harvick (17204935) | 17204935 | 31 | 3.23 |
| Kyle Larson | 9400 | 12 | Kyle Larson (17204936) | 17204936 | 28 | 2.98 |
| Kyle Busch | 9200 | 9 | Kyle Busch (17204937) | 17204937 | 27 | 2.93 |
| Alex Bowman | 9000 | 5 | Alex Bowman (17204938) | 17204938 | 23 | 2.56 |
| Martin Truex Jr | 8900 | 3 | Martin Truex Jr (17204939) | 17204939 | 23 | 2.58 |
| Aric Almirola | 8700 | 14 | Aric Almirola (17204940) | 17204940 | 30 | 3.45 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 8500 | 17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr (17204941) | 17204941 | 32 | 3.76 |
| Kurt Busch | 8300 | 15 | Kurt Busch (17204942) | 17204942 | 28 | 3.37 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 8200 | 13 | Matt DiBenedetto (17204943) | 17204943 | 21 | 2.56 |
| William Byron | 8000 | 4 | William Byron (17204944) | 17204944 | 21 | 2.63 |
| Harrison Burton | 7900 | 39 | Harrison Burton (17204945) | 17204945 | 32 | 4.05 |
| Austin Dillon | 7700 | 11 | Austin Dillon (17204946) | 17204946 | 23 | 2.99 |
| Ryan Newman | 7600 | 28 | Ryan Newman (17204947) | 17204947 | 35 | 4.61 |
| Erik Jones | 7500 | 22 | Erik Jones (17204948) | 17204948 | 31 | 4.13 |
| Christopher Bell | 7400 | 6 | Christopher Bell (17204949) | 17204949 | 20 | 2.70 |
| Michael McDowell | 7200 | 23 | Michael McDowell (17204950) | 17204950 | 31 | 4.31 |
| Bubba Wallace | 7000 | 24 | Bubba Wallace (17204951) | 17204951 | 33 | 4.71 |
| Cole Custer | 6800 | 27 | Cole Custer (17204952) | 17204952 | 25 | 3.68 |
| Chase Briscoe | 6600 | 25 | Chase Briscoe (17204953) | 17204953 | 27 | 4.09 |
| Tyler Reddick | 6500 | 20 | Tyler Reddick (17204954) | 17204954 | 29 | 4.46 |
| Ryan Preece | 6400 | 29 | Ryan Preece (17204955) | 17204955 | 36 | 5.63 |
| Chris Buescher | 6300 | 21 | Chris Buescher (17204956) | 17204956 | 29 | 4.60 |
| Daniel Suarez | 6200 | 19 | Daniel Suarez (17204957) | 17204957 | 18 | 2.90 |
| Ross Chastain | 6100 | 18 | Ross Chastain (17204958) | 17204958 | 23 | 3.77 |
| Justin Haley | 5900 | 34 | Justin Haley (17204959) | 17204959 | 32 | 5.42 |
| Kaz Grala | 5800 | 38 | Kaz Grala (17204960) | 17204960 | 30 | 5.17 |
| Anthony Alfredo | 5700 | 30 | Anthony Alfredo (17204961) | 17204961 | 24 | 4.21 |
| Corey Lajoie | 5600 | 26 | Corey Lajoie (17204962) | 17204962 | 31 | 5.54 |
| JJ Yeley | 5400 | 37 | JJ Yeley (17204963) | 17204963 | 25 | 4.63 |
| Josh Bilicki | 5200 | 36 | Josh Bilicki (17204964) | 17204964 | 22 | 4.23 |
| Timmy Hill | 5000 | 40 | Timmy Hill (17204965) | 17204965 | 27 | 5.40 |
| Joey Gase | 4900 | 35 | Joey Gase (17204966) | 17204966 | 25 | 5.10 |
| BJ McLeod | 4700 | 31 | BJ McLeod (17204967) | 17204967 | 19 | 4.04 |
| Quin Houff | 4600 | 32 | Quin Houff (17204968) | 17204968 | 19 | 4.13 |
| Cody Ware | 4500 | 33 | Cody Ware (17204969) | 17204969 | 20 | 4.44 |
