When you wake up this Sunday, I want you bad ass people to get in the fucking zone (Auto Zone), and remember that RICH is in Richmond. This short track can get boring after a while to watch, but when money is on the line, nothing is boring (it’s either exciting af or gutwrenching as hell). The regular premium fam understands this, and we all trust the process.
I’m excited to see all you one Weekend Premium Fam here this week, and I hope you are all in the Garage Guys Discord (If not click here to join), because shit gets wild on raceday. The plays Drew and I discussed in the free video this week include two high priced guys, but after some thought I’m pivoting away from Truex and going back to another driver that has let me down enough times this year where I feel its impossible to do it again.
Lets get rich and enjoy the show!
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NASCAR DFS Gut Bois – Toyota Owners 400 At Richmond Raceway
#11 Denny Hamlin (DK- $11K | FD – $13K)
Yes it’s true, Im going back in on Denny and I hope you follow my lead. Denny was the hottest DFS play of the week at Martinsville, and with this much momentum, he’s bound to hang up front and contend for a win again this week at Richmond.
It’s been a minute since Denny has gotten a win here, but Gabehart continues to impress me, and one little nugget of info I saw is that his finishes have been better in the warmer weather at this track in recent years. Call me crazy but with his data looking mediocre with laps led and finishing position, I’m ready to risk it for the biscuit on a driver that many will probably pass over for MTJ this week.
#1 Kurt Busch (DK – $8.3K | FD – $8.8K)
Back on our Busch’it so fast with Skrrt Kurt the meme god starting in P17 (if you haven’t seen some of these recent memes I hate it for you). Busch isn’t a candidate for a ton of laps led in my mind, but there’s no reason he should finish outside of the Top 10 with his experience.
Skrrt Kurt also holds a 27.4 Quality Pass average at this track and runs 87% of his laps in the Top 15. If you’re feeling lucky and close to a sportsbook, You can get him at 13/1 odds to finish inside the Top 10.
#6 Ryan Newman (DK – $7K | FD – $7.5K)
Hot Dog Man is one of my favorite dark horses this week for a Top 10 finish, and can be snagged at a solid price on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Newman has shown that the short game is where you will get him at his best, and Richmond is a track where we have seen him shine since hopping over to Rousch Fenway Racing.
Big Ryan has only been in this ride for two years, so looking back at most stats is not what is most important to me, but if my word isn’t good enough check this. Newman boasts the second most green flag passes at this track over the years and has an average running position of 11th.
#43 Erik Jones (DK – $7.6K | FD – $5.7K)
DAT JONES BOI HAS RETURNED and he’s starting in P30 which is TASTY AF for any DFS player this week looking to snag a driver to complete the holy grail of NASCAR lineups. Jones has shown that making the move to RPM hasn’t been horrible, but we all know that we still have a ways to go before it’s all said and done this season.
Since Erik is with a new team, I couldn’t factor in only his data, so I looked back at some previous finishes from Bubba and Bacon Boi (Aric Almirola) at this track. Both Bubba and Aric have finished inside the Top 20 in an RPM car at Richmond, and with this deep starting position, Erik is the best bang for your buck with place differential this Sunday.