The O’Reilly Auto Parts 253 will take place on the Daytona road course just a short week after a historical Daytona 500 win for Mike Mac! The DFS tiered rankings is a proven tool that has helped many DFS players bag tournaments in prior years, and it has personally helped me take down first place prize pools in several instances.
I rank every driver and tier them based on price. There is no sense to compare Chase Elliot to Quin Houff, but comparing Chase Elliot to Kevin Harvick, for example, tends to make sense. The rankings will be posted first and represent the “initial pass” on my approach to the slate.
The notes represent my “second pass” and will provide more insight into how I am building lineups, what I have learned from looking around the industry, and mention any situations where I’m “hotter” or “colder” on anyone than when I set the rankings. For example, I may mention that there is a large gap in my interest level after the top three ranked drivers in a given tier. Another example would be to point out that drivers ranked 1-3 are interchangeable in terms of my interest. My suggestion is to enter multiple lineups and use the rankings and notes as a guide as you build lineups.
If you are a more serious player building 40+ lineups, I do suggest purchasing a lineup optimizer tool. These are affordable for our more advanced players and you can get them relatively cheap – especially if you are purchasing for NASCAR only. We will definitely look to partner with a third party or build one in-house for next season. If you need help selecting one, I’m here to help explain and recommend what you need. To reiterate – this is only for advanced players and you do not need this unless you have full command of the tool. In fact, it can do more harm than good if you do not know what you are doing.
NASCAR DFS Tiered Rankings – O’Reilly Auto Parts 253
Tier 1 Notes
Hard not to love the trio of Elliot, Truex, and Blaney. Elliot is the betting favorite and is the king of road course races, but carries much more risk due to the starting position. Truex and Blaney have massive place differential upside with their starting positions, If Blaney and Truex were starting further forward, I would give Elliot the #1 rank. Regardless, my lineups will feature several combinations with 2 of these 3. Allmendinger is in a great spot to score well, but there are many cheaper place differential options. I only have about 15% Allmendinger since I’m prioritizing the trio. KB, Hamlin, and Brad K are tournament pivots only and will come in at much lower ownership than the others.
Tier 2 Notes
This slate is loaded with incredible place differential plays. These starting positions should make for a very chalky slate with concentrated ownership on guys like Bowman, Matty D, and Erik Jones. All of these are great plays that should smash value, and my favorite pivots off of them are Willy B, Kurt B, and Almirola. Harvick and Logano kind of fall into that same category as KB, Hamlin, and Brad K from tier 1. You can use them as pivots off of the trio.
Tier 3 Notes
Another tier, more place differential options. I love Buescher, and my biggest change since releasing the rankings is that I’m more interested in Reddick than Newman. I’m downgrading Newman but still plan to use him in limited spots. For context, I do prefer the tier 2 place differential options more than both Newman and Reddick. In summary, guys like Matt D and Erik Jones have much more upside in my opinion for a little bit more salary.
Tier 4 Notes
My cut-off point for this tier is the 7th ranked Heckert. I’m fading the rest of the tier, and I advise being super careful with this range. With so many strong cars starting in the back of the field, it really hurts the chances of these punt plays scoring well. Suarez and Ty Dillon are my favorites by a significant margin.