Welcome to the show; the name is Dale Tanhardt. The undisputed greatest NASCAR bettor in the history of the universe takes the show on the road to deliver the best NASCAR DFS Truck Series and Xfinity Series picks for DraftKings. This week we head to the Daytona Road Course for the BrakeBest Brake Pads 159. Thanks to Garage Guy Chase and Chef BoiRDeen, this beautiful mullet has been rewarded with the ability to provide YOU with more premium money-making possibilities in 2021.
Their success is unquestionable as year after year they dominate the NASCAR DFS world in the NASCAR Cup Series. It will be remarkably challenging to have to compete with their picks. Good thing I don’t have to.
As Chef and Chase continue to do their thing providing constant DFS cash flow opportunities for the Cup Series, I will be providing all the content you need for the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series (NCWTS) starting with the season-opening NextEra Energy 250 at Daytona on Friday night (I will also have cup straight bets, Xfinity straight bets, and Xfinity DFS). I truly believe the NCWTS is the most exciting of the three premier NASCAR series, and I advise anybody who watches a lick of auto racing to pay more attention to it. I think it also provides the most upside for payouts due to the several reasons below.
NASCAR DFS Premium Content For DraftKings, FanDuel and Betting
Vegas Doesn’t Know Enough About The NCWTS.
Based on my experience last year, I noticed throughout the entire season that many of the lines offered from race to race seemed off- in a good way. Many winners throughout the season were very undervalued in the races in which they were victorious. It’s worth noting that I picked: Sheldon Creed to win at Kentucky (+1600), Matt Crafton to win at Kansas (+1250), and Brandon Jones to win at Pocono (+850) in 2020.
Add Ben Rhodes +1800 to win last week’s season opener at Daytona to the list.
A common betting principle that can apply to most sports is the theory that if you come across a line that seems to be too good to be true, then it probably is. Based on my success betting on the NCWTS last year, I would be heavily inclined to disagree. Basically, if Vegas were a person, I would fight them.
The NCWTS Provides a Very Even Playing Ground For The Drivers.
The Truck Series is extremely competitive. Multiple different teams and drivers are capable of winning a race at any time. The NCWTS featured 13 different winners in 23 races in 2020. For comparison, the Cup Series featured 13 different winners in 36 races.
The NCWTS Is a Developmental Series.
The NCWTS, in the grand scheme of things, serves as a stepping stool for drivers to work their way up to the Cup Series. It’s sort of like the Minor Leagues for Major League Baseball or the G-League for the NBA. With it being a developmental series, drivers wheel it as they have nothing to lose. Every race could be their final chance at climbing the ladder and achieving stardom.
Considering this, the unpredictable factor is more present than ever in the NCWTS- unless you have a person who can, you know, be able to predict the unpredictable. Luckily, if you’re reading this, you have found that person. Congratulations. Without further ado, let’s jump right into who I am looking at this Friday in the BrakeBest Brake Pads 159 at the Daytona Road Course.
NASCAR DFS Truck Picks For DraftKings
Todd Gilliland: #38 Front Row Motorsports Ford – $9,600
Starting in the 32nd position, Gilliland is a potentially huge play considering his growing experience in the NCWTS. He runs well on road courses as the film indicates over the past three years, but he does not have the finishes to back it up. He lost a win in the final corner at Canadian Tire Sports Park due to then-teammate Noah Gragson wrecking Gilliland and himself coming to the checkered flag. The #38 truck appeared to be strong last year in this race before mechanical issues relegated Todd and his team to a poor finish. Experience combined with his tasty qualifying position and lady luck owing him a favor has me inserting Gilliland in most of my lineups come Friday night.
Sheldon Creed: #2 GMS Racing Chevrolet – $10,400
Creed is the defending winner of this race and the defending champion of the series. Creed has proven to be a threat at any type of track and has a very impressive road course resume since he entered the NCWTS. He finished 4th in his first career road course race at Canadian Tire Sports Park in 2019, and he followed that up with a win at the Daytona Road Course last season- a race in which he held off a hard-charging Brett Moffitt. Moffitt was on much newer tires as well, which makes that win by Creed that much more impressive. Creed will start 5th on Friday night, and I expect him to impose his will at the front all night, lead many laps and contend for the win.
Brett Moffitt: #45 Niece Motorsports Chevrolet – $10,000
Brett Moffitt has a chip on his shoulder this season. He left the GMS powerhouse in an arguable downgrade to Niece Motorsports. Don’t get me wrong; Niece is capable of winning. The point is more so a credit to how strong GMS’s program is. Brett has four road course starts over his veteran truck series career, and the finishes are 16th, 3rd, 1st, and 2nd. That 16th-place finish occurred nearly five years ago when Brett was a part-time driver. The 2nd-place came at the Daytona Road Course last season. He also will start 21st in Friday’s race, and, as you can tell, I love place-differential possibilities. I also love great mustache’s. Brett absolutely kills it with the stache’. It’s tough to find a legit argument to keep Moffitt out of your lineups.
Timmy Hill: #56 Hill Motorsports Chevrolet – $5,000
You gotta have somebody to balance out your lineup. There is potential to create many top-heavy lineups this week, so you need to find that one driver with a very cheap price tag who can perform. I think “Timmmaaaaaay” is that guy. Hill runs more NASCAR races than just about anybody. Self-employed, hard-working, and resilient are appropriate adjectives to describe what Timmy Hill is all about. He has some solid road course finishes in the Xfinity Series and recorded some excellent runs driving this truck part-time last season. Look for Hill to reap the benefits of other drivers making mistakes and advancing from his 34th place starting spot.
Austin Hill: #16 Hattori Racing Toyota – $10,700
I’m not crazy about how expensive Hill is, as he boasts the highest price tag in the entire field, but he is a very developed driver who runs strong at just about any track on the circuit. He wouldn’t be this expensive if he didn’t have a 20th-place starting position. He led the series last season in Top 10’s, and finished 5th in this race a year ago. He ran at the front virtually the entire day in that race, and I would be surprised to see him run outside the top ten on Friday night, and I have him penciled in as a formidable dark horse to win on Friday night.
Kaz Grala: #02 Young Motorsports Chevrolet – $7,100
Kaz is a very accomplished road racer for his age. He has experience in all three of NASCAR’s top series, and finished 7th filling in for Austin Dillon at this track last season. It was his first ever Cup Series start. His middle-tier price tag along with his 24th-place starting position bodes well for a high-scoring day. I expect a top ten from Kaz. His talent and experience outweigh many of the drivers in the field. Expect Kaz to work his way through the field and score a solid finish.
Raphael Lassard: #24 GMS Racing Chevrolet – $8,000
This is the guy that everybody will sleep on. The Canadian has two starts on road courses in his young career. Those two starts resulted in a 9th and a 3rd, which came at this track last season. He contended for the win before a self-inflicted error took him out of the lead when he slid through the chicane before the start-finish line. I think his ownership levels in DFS will be low, and I expect him to be a force and run strong in this race. It’s worth noting that he previously raced for Kyle Busch Motorsports. He now races for GMS, and a trend is developing in which young drivers who move to GMS in the NCWTS become stars (Sheldon Creed, Zane Smith, Sam Mayer, etc.). I predict that will happen this year with Lessard, and that campaign could begin as early as Friday as I expect him to have an excellent shot at winning this race.
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